Effects of ambient air particles on mortality in Seoul: Have the effects changed over time?

Honghyok Kim, Hyomi Kim, Jong-Tae Lee

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

16 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background: Several studies have shown that there may be temporal variation in PM short-term effect on mortality. This temporal pattern may play an important role in evaluating air quality policies. Objectives: We investigated temporal variation in the association between PM and mortality in Seoul, Korea, 1998-2011. Methods: We adopted a generalized additive model and a series of time windows of five years to analyze temporal variation in associations between PM and all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. This time-window approach offers not only a comparison between one and the other half period but also successive variation. Time-varying associations were estimated only for days without Asian dust (dust storm blown from the Gobi desert) intrusion. Results: Annual average PM<inf>10</inf> and PM<inf>2.5</inf> total mass decreased from 70.0 to 46.9μg/m<sup>3</sup> and 44.4 to 23.4μg/m<sup>3</sup>, respectively, during 2001-2011. A 10μg/m<sup>3</sup> increase in PM<inf>10</inf> was associated with 0.16% (95% CI=-0.03% to 0.35%) additional all-cause deaths in 2002-2006 and it increased to 0.26% (95% CI=0.05-0.48%) in 2007-2011. For PM<inf>2.5</inf>, the association increased from 0.35% (95% CI=-0.02% to 0.71%) to 0.48% (95% CI=0.08-0.88%). For cardiovascular and respiratory mortality, increasing trends with stronger estimates were found. Conclusions: The present study showed temporally increasing trends in associations between PM and mortality.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)684-690
Number of pages7
JournalEnvironmental Research
Volume140
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2015 Jul 1

Keywords

  • Fine particle
  • Mortality
  • Particulate matter
  • Temporal variation
  • Time-varying effect

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Biochemistry
  • Medicine(all)

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