EXTREME EVENTS AND OPTIMAL MONETARY POLICY

Jinill Kim, Francisco Ruge-Murcia

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

This article studies the implication of extreme shocks for monetary policy. The analysis is based on a small-scale New Keynesian model with sticky prices and wages where shocks are drawn from asymmetric generalized extreme value distributions. A nonlinear perturbation solution of the model is estimated by the simulated method of moments. Under the Ramsey policy, the central bank responds nonlinearly and asymmetrically to shocks. The trade-off between targeting a gross inflation rate above 1 as insurance against extreme shocks and targeting an average gross inflation at unity to avoid adjustment costs is unambiguously decided in favor of strict price stability.

Original languageEnglish
JournalInternational Economic Review
DOIs
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 2018 Jan 1

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Optimal monetary policy
Extreme events
Targeting
Adjustment costs
Monetary policy
Inflation
New Keynesian model
Sticky wages
Central bank
Perturbation
Insurance
Trade-offs
Inflation rate
Simulated method of moments
Price stability
Ramsey Policy
Generalized extreme value distribution
Sticky prices

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics and Econometrics

Cite this

EXTREME EVENTS AND OPTIMAL MONETARY POLICY. / Kim, Jinill; Ruge-Murcia, Francisco.

In: International Economic Review, 01.01.2018.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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