How people vote in contests: new findings from Immortal Songs 2

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Many important contests, such as job interviews and political debates, are presented in sequential order. Previous studies found serial position effects such that the later presenter has a higher probability of winning. However, no previous studies use both random assignments of contestants and a large number of contestants and judges. We use Immortal Songs 2, a popular TV program that satisfies both conditions, to confirm the findings of serial position effects. In addition, Immortal Songs 2 has round-by-round competition rules. The first round is a competition between the first and second contestants. Then, the winner of the first round is announced. The second round is a contest between the winner of the first round and the third contestant. As the rounds continue, in theory, the winner of the previous round should have a higher probability of winning; however, in fact, the second contestant’s probability of winning is always 0.5.

Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Cultural Economics
DOIs
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 2020 Jan 1

Keywords

  • Momentary fairness bias
  • Preference
  • Serial position effects
  • Step-by-step

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

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