Abstract
The demographic dividend that contributed substantially to economic growth in developing Asia in the past is dissipating. Population aging affects growth through savings, capital accumulation, labor force participation, and total factor productivity. We examined the impact of aging on those four channels in 12 developing Asian economies that collectively make up the bulk of the region's population and output. We then made projections about the effects of demographic change on the economic growth of the 12 from 2011 to 2020 and from 2021 to 2030. Our results indicate that there will be a sizable adverse economic impact where population aging is more advanced.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1-30 |
Number of pages | 30 |
Journal | ADB Economics Working Paper Series |
Volume | 281 |
Publication status | Published - 2011 Oct |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Geography, Planning and Development
- Economics and Econometrics
- Political Science and International Relations