Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia: Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model

Aileen Lam, Soocheol Lee, Jean François Mercure, Yongsung Cho, Chun Hsu Lin, Hector Pollitt, Unnada Chewpreecha, Sophie Billington

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this paper we apply a model of technological diffusion, Future Technology Transformations in the Transport Sector (FTT: Transport), linked to the E3ME macroeconomic model, to study possible future technological transitions in personal passenger transport in four East Asian countries. We assess how targeted policies could impact on these transitions by defining four scenarios based on policies that aim to reduce emissions from transport. For each country we find that an integrated approach of tax incentives, subsidies, regulations (fuel economy efficiency), kick-start programs and biofuel programs yield the most significant emission reductions because, when combined, they accelerate effectively the diffusion of electric vehicles in the region.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1612
JournalSustainability (Switzerland)
Volume10
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2018 May 17

Fingerprint

tax incentive
electric vehicle
Carbon
biofuel
carbon
Fuel economy
Biofuels
Electric vehicles
prediction
Taxation
macroeconomics
integrated approach
taxes
subsidy
incentive
scenario
regulation
efficiency
economy
analysis

Keywords

  • CO emission reduction
  • E3ME
  • East Asian countries
  • FTT: Transport model
  • The diffusion of electric vehicle
  • Transport sectors
  • Transportation policies

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

Cite this

Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia : Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model. / Lam, Aileen; Lee, Soocheol; Mercure, Jean François; Cho, Yongsung; Lin, Chun Hsu; Pollitt, Hector; Chewpreecha, Unnada; Billington, Sophie.

In: Sustainability (Switzerland), Vol. 10, No. 5, 1612, 17.05.2018.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Lam, Aileen ; Lee, Soocheol ; Mercure, Jean François ; Cho, Yongsung ; Lin, Chun Hsu ; Pollitt, Hector ; Chewpreecha, Unnada ; Billington, Sophie. / Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia : Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model. In: Sustainability (Switzerland). 2018 ; Vol. 10, No. 5.
@article{780ecc26dc86496f8c549a1093a24ce3,
title = "Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia: Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model",
abstract = "In this paper we apply a model of technological diffusion, Future Technology Transformations in the Transport Sector (FTT: Transport), linked to the E3ME macroeconomic model, to study possible future technological transitions in personal passenger transport in four East Asian countries. We assess how targeted policies could impact on these transitions by defining four scenarios based on policies that aim to reduce emissions from transport. For each country we find that an integrated approach of tax incentives, subsidies, regulations (fuel economy efficiency), kick-start programs and biofuel programs yield the most significant emission reductions because, when combined, they accelerate effectively the diffusion of electric vehicles in the region.",
keywords = "CO emission reduction, E3ME, East Asian countries, FTT: Transport model, The diffusion of electric vehicle, Transport sectors, Transportation policies",
author = "Aileen Lam and Soocheol Lee and Mercure, {Jean Fran{\cc}ois} and Yongsung Cho and Lin, {Chun Hsu} and Hector Pollitt and Unnada Chewpreecha and Sophie Billington",
year = "2018",
month = "5",
day = "17",
doi = "10.3390/su10051612",
language = "English",
volume = "10",
journal = "Sustainability",
issn = "2071-1050",
publisher = "MDPI AG",
number = "5",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia

T2 - Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model

AU - Lam, Aileen

AU - Lee, Soocheol

AU - Mercure, Jean François

AU - Cho, Yongsung

AU - Lin, Chun Hsu

AU - Pollitt, Hector

AU - Chewpreecha, Unnada

AU - Billington, Sophie

PY - 2018/5/17

Y1 - 2018/5/17

N2 - In this paper we apply a model of technological diffusion, Future Technology Transformations in the Transport Sector (FTT: Transport), linked to the E3ME macroeconomic model, to study possible future technological transitions in personal passenger transport in four East Asian countries. We assess how targeted policies could impact on these transitions by defining four scenarios based on policies that aim to reduce emissions from transport. For each country we find that an integrated approach of tax incentives, subsidies, regulations (fuel economy efficiency), kick-start programs and biofuel programs yield the most significant emission reductions because, when combined, they accelerate effectively the diffusion of electric vehicles in the region.

AB - In this paper we apply a model of technological diffusion, Future Technology Transformations in the Transport Sector (FTT: Transport), linked to the E3ME macroeconomic model, to study possible future technological transitions in personal passenger transport in four East Asian countries. We assess how targeted policies could impact on these transitions by defining four scenarios based on policies that aim to reduce emissions from transport. For each country we find that an integrated approach of tax incentives, subsidies, regulations (fuel economy efficiency), kick-start programs and biofuel programs yield the most significant emission reductions because, when combined, they accelerate effectively the diffusion of electric vehicles in the region.

KW - CO emission reduction

KW - E3ME

KW - East Asian countries

KW - FTT: Transport model

KW - The diffusion of electric vehicle

KW - Transport sectors

KW - Transportation policies

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85047012442&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85047012442&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.3390/su10051612

DO - 10.3390/su10051612

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85047012442

VL - 10

JO - Sustainability

JF - Sustainability

SN - 2071-1050

IS - 5

M1 - 1612

ER -