Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia: Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model

Aileen Lam, Soocheol Lee, Jean François Mercure, Yongsung Cho, Chun Hsu Lin, Hector Pollitt, Unnada Chewpreecha, Sophie Billington

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Abstract

In this paper we apply a model of technological diffusion, Future Technology Transformations in the Transport Sector (FTT: Transport), linked to the E3ME macroeconomic model, to study possible future technological transitions in personal passenger transport in four East Asian countries. We assess how targeted policies could impact on these transitions by defining four scenarios based on policies that aim to reduce emissions from transport. For each country we find that an integrated approach of tax incentives, subsidies, regulations (fuel economy efficiency), kick-start programs and biofuel programs yield the most significant emission reductions because, when combined, they accelerate effectively the diffusion of electric vehicles in the region.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1612
JournalSustainability (Switzerland)
Volume10
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2018 May 17

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Keywords

  • CO emission reduction
  • E3ME
  • East Asian countries
  • FTT: Transport model
  • The diffusion of electric vehicle
  • Transport sectors
  • Transportation policies

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

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