TY - JOUR
T1 - Real option analysis for effects of emission permit banking on investment under abatement cost uncertainty
AU - Park, Hojeong
N1 - Funding Information:
I would like to thank Lars Olson in the University of Maryland for his comments and a series of discussions. I appreciate valuable comments and suggestions provided by anonymous referees. All remaining errors are mine. This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea Grant funded by the Korean Government ( NRF-2011-327-B00126 ).
Copyright:
Copyright 2012 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2012/7
Y1 - 2012/7
N2 - The present paper analyzes the investment effects of emission trading scheme (ETS) when emission permits are bankable and there is technological uncertainty with regard to the abatement cost. A real option model is employed to accommodate irreversibility of investment and cost uncertainty. In the absence of abatement cost uncertainty, a bankable ETS reduces a firm's incentive for environmental investment, because the firm can utilize the banked permits for future compliance which act as substitutes for abatement investment. However, when cost uncertainty is prevalent, investment may reduce the opportunity cost of irreversible investment under the banking system, thereby increasing a firm's investment incentive. The condition is derived under which a bankable ETS provides higher investment incentives than a non-bankable ETS does.
AB - The present paper analyzes the investment effects of emission trading scheme (ETS) when emission permits are bankable and there is technological uncertainty with regard to the abatement cost. A real option model is employed to accommodate irreversibility of investment and cost uncertainty. In the absence of abatement cost uncertainty, a bankable ETS reduces a firm's incentive for environmental investment, because the firm can utilize the banked permits for future compliance which act as substitutes for abatement investment. However, when cost uncertainty is prevalent, investment may reduce the opportunity cost of irreversible investment under the banking system, thereby increasing a firm's investment incentive. The condition is derived under which a bankable ETS provides higher investment incentives than a non-bankable ETS does.
KW - Banking
KW - Emission permit
KW - Investment
KW - Real option
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U2 - 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.012
DO - 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.012
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84860995799
SN - 0264-9993
VL - 29
SP - 1314
EP - 1321
JO - Economic Modelling
JF - Economic Modelling
IS - 4
ER -