Stock market reaction to oil price shocks

A comparison between an oil-exporting economy and an oil-importing economy

Hansol Jung, Cheolbeom Park

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

21 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this study, we assess the responses of aggregate stock returns and their volatility in the face of oil price shocks in the Norwegian and Korean markets. Both Norway and Korea are small open economies; the former exports oil, and the latter imports it. We determine herein that the responses of aggregate stock returns and volatility differ substantially, depending on the underlying cause of the oil price rise and depending on whether an economy exports or imports oil. Additionally, a larger portion of stock return variations in small open economies can be explained by the world crude oil market as opposed to the US market; this implies that the small open economies have more oil-dependent technology and limited access to the global financial market. Finally, the results of our analysis of the conditional covariance measure indicate that the responses of stock returns and volatility are not based on a risk-return tradeoff relationship.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1-29
Number of pages29
JournalJournal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
Volume22
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 2011 Sep 1

Fingerprint

Exporting
Oil price shocks
Stock market reaction
Oil
Stock returns
Importing
Small open economy
Stock volatility
Import
International financial markets
Norway
Korea
Risk-return tradeoff
Oil prices
Crude oil
Oil markets

Keywords

  • Oil demand shocks
  • Oil prices
  • Oil supply shocks
  • Stock returns
  • Volatility

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics and Econometrics

Cite this

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AB - In this study, we assess the responses of aggregate stock returns and their volatility in the face of oil price shocks in the Norwegian and Korean markets. Both Norway and Korea are small open economies; the former exports oil, and the latter imports it. We determine herein that the responses of aggregate stock returns and volatility differ substantially, depending on the underlying cause of the oil price rise and depending on whether an economy exports or imports oil. Additionally, a larger portion of stock return variations in small open economies can be explained by the world crude oil market as opposed to the US market; this implies that the small open economies have more oil-dependent technology and limited access to the global financial market. Finally, the results of our analysis of the conditional covariance measure indicate that the responses of stock returns and volatility are not based on a risk-return tradeoff relationship.

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