Suppression of epidemic outbreaks with heavy-tailed contact dynamics

Byungjoon Min, K. I. Goh, I. M. Kim

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

20 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We study the epidemic spreading process following contact dynamics with heavy-tailed waiting time distributions. We show both analytically and numerically that the temporal heterogeneity of contact dynamics can significantly suppress the disease's transmissibility, hence the size of epidemic outbreak, obstructing the spreading process. Furthermore, when the temporal heterogeneity is strong enough, one obtains the vanishing transmissibility for any finite recovery time and regardless of the underlying structure of contacts, the condition of which was derived.

Original languageEnglish
Article number50002
JournalEPL
Volume103
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2013 Sep

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Physics and Astronomy(all)

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